Yemen Southern Transitional Council , backed by the UAE, declares a two-year transitional phase toward independence on January 2, 2026. This bold move follows recent territorial gains and escalates tensions in the war-torn country, potentially splitting Yemen again by 2028.
Details of the Announcement
STC President Aidaros al-Zubaidi reveals a constitutional declaration for the “State of South Arabia,” covering the former People’s Democratic Republic of Yemen 1967-1990 borders. The plan includes:
A two-year transition ending January 2, 2028Dialogue with northern forces (Houthi-controlled)An international-sponsored referendum on self-determination
Zubaidi warns independence declares “immediately” if attacks continue or dialogue fails. This follows Saudi-led coalition airstrikes killing separatist fighters amid clashes over Hadramawt and Mahra provinces.
Yemen Recent Offensive and Regional Tensions
The STC launches “Operation Promising Future” in December 2025, seizing southern territories rapidly. Saudi Arabia responds with strikes to reclaim areas, while the UAE withdraws forces, highlighting diverging interests within the anti-Houthi coalition. Saudi invites southern factions to Riyadh talks, but the STC’s move risks derailing de-escalation.
This roadmap revives southern independence dreams post-1990 unification. It complicates UN peace efforts favoring unity and strains Saudi-UAE relations. International community watches closely amid Houthi dominance in the north.
